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ITA Itália - Serie A · Partida ·

Lazio vs Génova

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–12.07 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa47%
Empate30%
Vitória visitante23%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa47% selection probability
Projected score1–1LazioGénova
Expected goals2.07Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo66% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
47% / 30% / 23%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Génova win (22.9%)Dupla Chance1X77.1%1.30
Acima 34% · Abaixo 66%Goals 2.5Abaixo66%1.52
Sim 41% · Não 59%Ambas as equipes marcamNão59%1.69
2.07 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
8.4 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.1%Largest probability gapLazio winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lazio win47%2.132.0047.6%-0.6 pp
Empate30%3.333.2029.7%+0.3 pp
Génova win23%4.354.2022.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lazio1.22

Mandante share of expected goals 58.9%

Total expected goals2.07Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 34% · Abaixo 66%

Génova0.85

Visitante share of expected goals 41.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 41% · Não 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Lazio

3.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Pontos15

SignalMandante unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Génova

1.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontos7

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
23%
15
Points from supplied form
7
1.22
Expected goals
0.85
LazioGénova
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lazio signalMandante unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Génova signalMandante matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Lazio vs Génova FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lazio ganhou 47%,Empate 30%,Génova ganhou 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.07 · Acima 2.5 34% · Current selection Abaixo