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ITA Ιταλία - Σέριε Α · Αγώνας ·

Λάτσιο vs Τζένοα

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–12.07 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου47%
Ισοπαλία30%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου23%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου47% selection probability
Projected score1–1ΛάτσιοΤζένοα
Expected goals2.07Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω66% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
47% / 30% / 23%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Τζένοα win (22.9%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X77.1%1.30
Άνω 34% · Κάτω 66%Goals 2.5Κάτω66%1.52
Ναι 41% · Όχι 59%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι59%1.69
2.07 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
8.4 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.1%Largest probability gapΛάτσιο winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Λάτσιο win47%2.132.0047.6%-0.6 pp
Ισοπαλία30%3.333.2029.7%+0.3 pp
Τζένοα win23%4.354.2022.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Λάτσιο1.22

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 58.9%

Total expected goals2.07Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 34% · Κάτω 66%

Τζένοα0.85

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 41.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 41% · Όχι 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Λάτσιο

3.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Πόντοι15

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 5/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Τζένοα

1.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Πόντοι7

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
23%
15
Points from supplied form
7
1.22
Expected goals
0.85
ΛάτσιοΤζένοα
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Λάτσιο signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Τζένοα signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Λάτσιο vs Τζένοα FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 1–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Λάτσιο νίκη 47%,Ισοπαλία 30%,Τζένοα νίκη 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.07 · Άνω 2.5 34% · Current selection Κάτω