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ITA Itália - Serie A · Partida ·

Juventus vs Parma

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score2–12.11 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa77%
Empate14%
Vitória visitante8%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 77% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa77% selection probability
Projected score2–1JuventusParma
Expected goals2.11Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo65% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão68% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
77% / 14% / 8%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa77%1.30
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Parma win (8.2%)Dupla Chance1X91.8%1.09
Acima 35% · Abaixo 65%Goals 2.5Abaixo65%1.54
Sim 32% · Não 68%Ambas as equipes marcamNão68%1.47
2.11 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1
9.2 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin4.6%Largest probability gapJuventus winDifference-1.4 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Juventus win77%1.301.2278.4%-1.4 pp
Empate14%7.147.0013.7%+0.3 pp
Parma win8%12.5012.008%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Juventus1.60

Mandante share of expected goals 75.8%

Total expected goals2.11Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 35% · Abaixo 65%

Parma0.51

Visitante share of expected goals 24.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 32% · Não 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Juventus

1.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Pontos8

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Parma

1.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Pontos5

SignalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
77%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
8%
8
Points from supplied form
5
1.60
Expected goals
0.51
JuventusParma
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Juventus signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Parma signalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk23% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 14%.

Match questions

Juventus vs Parma FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 77% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Juventus ganhou 77%,Empate 14%,Parma ganhou 8%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.11 · Acima 2.5 35% · Current selection Abaixo