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ITA Italy Serie A · Fixture ·

Juventus vs Parma

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.11 expected goals
Away form
Home win77%
Draw14%
Away win8%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 77% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win77% selection probability
Projected score2–1JuventusParma
Expected goals2.11Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under65% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo68% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
77% / 14% / 8%Match resultHome win77%1.30
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Parma win (8.2%)Double chance1X91.8%1.09
Over 35% · Under 65%Goals 2.5Under65%1.54
Yes 32% · No 68%Both teams scoreNo68%1.47
2.11 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin4.6%Largest probability gapJuventus winDifference-1.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Juventus win77%1.301.2278.4%-1.4 pp
Draw14%7.147.0013.7%+0.3 pp
Parma win8%12.5012.008%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Juventus1.60

Home share of expected goals 75.8%

Total expected goals2.11Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 35% · Under 65%

Parma0.51

Away share of expected goals 24.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 32% · No 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Juventus

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Parma

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
77%
Win probability excluding draw
8%
8
Points from supplied form
5
1.60
Expected goals
0.51
JuventusParma
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Juventus signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Parma signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk23% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 14%.

Match questions

Juventus vs Parma FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 77% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Juventus win 77%,Draw 14%,Parma win 8%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.11 · Over 2.5 35% · Current selection Under