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ITA Italia - Serie A · Partido ·

Juventus vs Parma

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–12.11 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local77%
Empate14%
Victoria visitante8%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 77% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local77% selection probability
Projected score2–1JuventusParma
Expected goals2.11Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de65% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo68% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
77% / 14% / 8%Resultado del partidoVictoria local77%1.30
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Parma win (8.2%)Doble Oportunidad1X91.8%1.09
Más de 35% · Menos de 65%Goals 2.5Menos de65%1.54
Sí 32% · No 68%Ambos equipos marcanNo68%1.47
2.11 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
9.2 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin4.6%Largest probability gapJuventus winDifference-1.4 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Juventus win77%1.301.2278.4%-1.4 pp
Empate14%7.147.0013.7%+0.3 pp
Parma win8%12.5012.008%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Juventus1.60

Local share of expected goals 75.8%

Total expected goals2.11Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 35% · Menos de 65%

Parma0.51

Visitante share of expected goals 24.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 32% · No 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Juventus

1.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puntos8

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Parma

1.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puntos5

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
77%
Ganado probability excluding draw
8%
8
Points from supplied form
5
1.60
Expected goals
0.51
JuventusParma
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Juventus signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Parma signalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk23% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 14%.

Match questions

Juventus vs Parma FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 77% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Juventus ganada 77%,Empate 14%,Parma ganada 8%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.11 · Más de 2.5 35% · Current selection Menos de