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ITA Italie - Série A · Match ·

Juventus vs Parma

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.11 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile77%
Nul14%
Victoire à l’extérieur8%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 77% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile77% selection probability
Projected score2–1JuventusParma
Expected goals2.11Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de65% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon68% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
77% / 14% / 8%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile77%1.30
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Parma win (8.2%)Double chance1X91.8%1.09
Plus de 35% · Moins de 65%Goals 2.5Moins de65%1.54
Oui 32% · Non 68%Les deux équipes marquentNon68%1.47
2.11 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
9.2 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin4.6%Largest probability gapJuventus winDifference-1.4 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Juventus win77%1.301.2278.4%-1.4 pp
Nul14%7.147.0013.7%+0.3 pp
Parma win8%12.5012.008%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Juventus1.60

Domicile share of expected goals 75.8%

Total expected goals2.11Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 35% · Moins de 65%

Parma0.51

Extérieur share of expected goals 24.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 32% · Non 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Juventus

1.60pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Parma

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
77%
Gagné probability excluding draw
8%
8
Points from supplied form
5
1.60
Expected goals
0.51
JuventusParma
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Juventus signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Parma signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk23% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 14%.

Match questions

Juventus vs Parma FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 77% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Juventus victoire 77%,Nul 14%,Parma victoire 8%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.11 · Plus de 2.5 35% · Current selection Moins de