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ITA Италия - Серия A · Мач ·

Сасуоло vs Торино

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–13.02 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина42%
Равен29%
Победа за госта29%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина42% selection probability
Projected score2–1СасуолоТорино
Expected goals3.02Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над58% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
42% / 29% / 29%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.6%)Двоен шанс1271.4%1.40
Над 58% · Под 42%Goals 2.5Над58%1.72
Да 60% · Не 40%И двата отбора да отбележатДа60%1.67
3.02 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
8.7 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.0%Largest probability gapСасуоло winDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Сасуоло win42%2.382.2541.9%+0.1 pp
Равен29%3.453.2529%0.0 pp
Торино win29%3.453.2529%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Сасуоло1.76

Домакин share of expected goals 58.3%

Total expected goals3.02Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 58% · Под 42%

Торино1.26

Гост share of expected goals 41.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 60% · Не 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Сасуоло

0.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Точки4

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Торино

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
29%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.76
Expected goals
1.26
СасуолоТорино
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Сасуоло signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Торино signalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Сасуоло vs Торино FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Сасуоло печеливш 42%,Равен 29%,Торино печеливш 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.02 · Над 2.5 58% · Current selection Над