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ITA Италия - Серия А · Матч ·

Сассуоло vs Торино

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–13.02 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев42%
Ничья29%
Победа гостей29%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев42% selection probability
Projected score2–1СассуолоТорино
Expected goals3.02Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше58% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
42% / 29% / 29%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.6%)Двойной шанс1271.4%1.40
Больше 58% · Меньше 42%Goals 2.5Больше58%1.72
Да 60% · Нет 40%Обе забьютДа60%1.67
3.02 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
8.7 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.0%Largest probability gapСассуоло winDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Сассуоло win42%2.382.2541.9%+0.1 pp
Ничья29%3.453.2529%0.0 pp
Торино win29%3.453.2529%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Сассуоло1.76

Хозяева share of expected goals 58.3%

Total expected goals3.02Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 58% · Меньше 42%

Торино1.26

Гости share of expected goals 41.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 60% · Нет 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Сассуоло

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Торино

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
29%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.76
Expected goals
1.26
СассуолоТорино
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Сассуоло signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Торино signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Сассуоло vs Торино FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Сассуоло выигрыш 42%,Ничья 29%,Торино выигрыш 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.02 · ТБ 2.5 58% · Current selection Больше