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ITA Италия - Серия А · Матч ·

Фиорентина vs Фрозиноне

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.49 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев57%
Ничья23%
Победа гостей20%
Market-based forecastПобеда хозяевTier B · 57% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев57% selection probability
Projected score2–1ФиорентинаФрозиноне
Expected goals2.49Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше54% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
57% / 23% / 20%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Фрозиноне win (20.1%)Двойной шанс1X79.9%1.25
Больше 46% · Меньше 54%Goals 2.5Меньше54%1.85
Да 48% · Нет 52%Обе забьютНет52%1.92
2.49 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
8.9 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin5.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНет
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Фиорентина win57%1.751.6258.5%
Ничья23%4.354.2022.6%
Фрозиноне win20%5.005.0019%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Фиорентина1.56

Хозяева share of expected goals 62.7%

Total expected goals2.49Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 46% · Меньше 54%

Фрозиноне0.93

Гости share of expected goals 37.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 48% · Нет 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Фиорентина

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Фрозиноне

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalГости matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
20%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.56
Expected goals
0.93
ФиорентинаФрозиноне
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Фиорентина signalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Фрозиноне signalГости matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Фиорентина vs Фрозиноне FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Фиорентина выигрыш 57%,Ничья 23%,Фрозиноне выигрыш 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.49 · ТБ 2.5 46% · Current selection Меньше