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ITA Italien - Serie A · Spiel ·

Neapel vs Como

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.28 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg38%
Unentschieden30%
Auswärtssieg32%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg38% selection probability
Projected score1–1NeapelComo
Expected goals2.28Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter60% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
38% / 30% / 32%SpielergebnisHeimsieg38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.7%)Doppelte Chance1270.3%1.42
Über 40% · Unter 60%Goals 2.5Unter60%1.67
Ja 46% · Nein 54%Beide Teams treffenNein54%1.85
2.28 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
8.3 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.4%Largest probability gapNeapel winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Neapel win38%2.632.4538.7%-0.7 pp
Unentschieden30%3.333.2029.6%+0.4 pp
Como win32%3.133.0031.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Neapel1.04

Heim share of expected goals 45.6%

Total expected goals2.28Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 40% · Unter 60%

Como1.24

Auswärts share of expected goals 54.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 46% · Nein 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Neapel

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Como

2.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punkte11

SignalHeim clean sheets: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
32%
10
Points from supplied form
11
1.04
Expected goals
1.24
NeapelComo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Neapel signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Como signalHeim clean sheets: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Neapel vs Como FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Neapel Gewinn 38%,Unentschieden 30%,Como Gewinn 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.28 · Über 2.5 40% · Current selection Unter