Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
43% / 30% / 27%Match resultHome win43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Bologna win (27%)Double chance1X73%1.37
Over 42% · Under 58%Goals 2.5Under58%1.72
Yes 46% · No 54%Both teams scoreNo54%1.85
2.35 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
8.9 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Atalanta win43%2.33
Draw30%3.33
Bologna win27%3.70
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 60.4%
Total expected goals2.35Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 42% · Under 58%
Away share of expected goals 39.6%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 46% · No 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchAtalanta
WDDLW
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchBologna
LWDLD
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5
SignalHome failed to score: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
43%
Win probability excluding draw
27%8
Points from supplied form
51.42
Expected goals
0.93AtalantaBologna
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 30%.
Match questions
Atalanta vs Bologna FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Atalanta win 43%，Draw 30%，Bologna win 27%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.35 · Over 2.5 42% · Current selection Under。