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ITA Италия - Серия А · Матч ·

Аталанта vs Болонья

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.35 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев43%
Ничья30%
Победа гостей27%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев43% selection probability
Projected score1–1АталантаБолонья
Expected goals2.35Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше58% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
43% / 30% / 27%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Болонья win (27%)Двойной шанс1X73%1.37
Больше 42% · Меньше 58%Goals 2.5Меньше58%1.72
Да 46% · Нет 54%Обе забьютНет54%1.85
2.35 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
8.9 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Аталанта win43%2.33
Ничья30%3.33
Болонья win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Аталанта1.42

Хозяева share of expected goals 60.4%

Total expected goals2.35Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 42% · Меньше 58%

Болонья0.93

Гости share of expected goals 39.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 46% · Нет 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Аталанта

1.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Баллы8

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Болонья

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
27%
8
Points from supplied form
5
1.42
Expected goals
0.93
АталантаБолонья
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Аталанта signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Болонья signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Аталанта vs Болонья FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Аталанта выигрыш 43%,Ничья 30%,Болонья выигрыш 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.35 · ТБ 2.5 42% · Current selection Меньше