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ISL Islândia - Premier League · Partida ·

Stjarnan vs Keflavik

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score2–23.51 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa50%
Empate22%
Vitória visitante28%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa50% selection probability
Projected score2–2StjarnanKeflavik
Expected goals3.51Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima68% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim68% for the selected side
Expected corners12.1Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
50% / 22% / 28%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22%)Dupla Chance1278%1.28
Acima 68% · Abaixo 32%Goals 2.5Acima68%1.47
Sim 68% · Não 32%Ambas as equipes marcamSim68%1.47
3.51 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–2
12.1 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Stjarnan win50%2.001.8050%0.0 pp
Empate22%4.554.1021.9%+0.1 pp
Keflavik win28%3.573.2028.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Stjarnan1.99

Mandante share of expected goals 56.7%

Total expected goals3.51Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 68% · Abaixo 32%

Keflavik1.52

Visitante share of expected goals 43.3%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitSim 68% · Não 32%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Stjarnan

1.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Pontos6

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Keflavik

1.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontos7

SignalMandante failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
28%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.99
Expected goals
1.52
StjarnanKeflavik
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Stjarnan signalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Keflavik signalMandante failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Stjarnan vs Keflavik FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–2 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Stjarnan ganhou 50%,Empate 22%,Keflavik ganhou 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.51 · Acima 2.5 68% · Current selection Acima