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ISL Iceland Premier League · Maç ·

Stjarnan vs Keflavik

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score2–23.51 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır50%
Beraberlik22%
Deplasman kazanır28%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır50% selection probability
Projected score2–2StjarnanKeflavik
Expected goals3.51Açılış match profile
Goals 2.5Üst68% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varEvet68% for the selected side
Expected corners12.1Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
50% / 22% / 28%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22%)Çifte Şans1278%1.28
Üst 68% · Alt 32%Goals 2.5Üst68%1.47
Evet 68% · Hayır 32%Karşılıklı gol varEvet68%1.47
3.51 total expected goalsDoğru skor2–2
12.1 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Stjarnan win50%2.001.8050%0.0 pp
Beraberlik22%4.554.1021.9%+0.1 pp
Keflavik win28%3.573.2028.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Stjarnan1.99

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 56.7%

Total expected goals3.51Açılış

Dedicated goals model: Üst 68% · Alt 32%

Keflavik1.52

Deplasman share of expected goals 43.3%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitEvet 68% · Hayır 32%Match profileAçılış
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Stjarnan

1.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puan6

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Keflavik

1.40pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puan7

SignalEv Sahibi failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
28%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.99
Expected goals
1.52
StjarnanKeflavik
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Stjarnan signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Keflavik signalEv Sahibi failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Stjarnan vs Keflavik FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 2–2 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Stjarnan kazanç 50%,Beraberlik 22%,Keflavik kazanç 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.51 · 2.5 Üst 68% · Current selection Üst