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ISL Izland - Premier Liga · Mérkőzés ·

Stjarnan vs Keflavik

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score2–23.51 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem50%
Döntetlen22%
Vendég győzelem28%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem50% selection probability
Projected score2–2StjarnanKeflavik
Expected goals3.51Nyitó match profile
Goals 2.5Felett68% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen68% for the selected side
Expected corners12.1Felett 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
50% / 22% / 28%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22%)Dupla esély1278%1.28
Felett 68% · Alatt 32%Goals 2.5Felett68%1.47
Igen 68% · Nem 32%Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen68%1.47
3.51 total expected goalsPontos eredmény2–2
12.1 expected match cornersSzögletekFelett 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Stjarnan win50%2.001.8050%0.0 pp
Döntetlen22%4.554.1021.9%+0.1 pp
Keflavik win28%3.573.2028.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Stjarnan1.99

Hazai share of expected goals 56.7%

Total expected goals3.51Nyitó

Dedicated goals model: Felett 68% · Alatt 32%

Keflavik1.52

Vendég share of expected goals 43.3%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitIgen 68% · Nem 32%Match profileNyitó
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Stjarnan

1.20pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Pontok6

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Keflavik

1.40pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontok7

SignalHazai failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Nyert probability excluding draw
28%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.99
Expected goals
1.52
StjarnanKeflavik
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Stjarnan signalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Keflavik signalHazai failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Stjarnan vs Keflavik FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 2–2 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Stjarnan nyer 50%,Döntetlen 22%,Keflavik nyer 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.51 · 2.5 felett 68% · Current selection Felett