MatchFormula Zoek een wedstrijd
Menu
UTC+8
TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
Nederlands
ISL IJsland - Úrvalsdeild karla · Wedstrijd ·

Stjarnan vs Keflavik

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–23.51 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst50%
Gelijkspel22%
Uitwinst28%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst50% selection probability
Projected score2–2StjarnanKeflavik
Expected goals3.51Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven68% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa68% for the selected side
Expected corners12.1Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
50% / 22% / 28%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22%)Dubbele Kans1278%1.28
Boven 68% · Onder 32%Goals 2.5Boven68%1.47
Ja 68% · Nee 32%Beide teams scorenJa68%1.47
3.51 total expected goalsExacte score2–2
12.1 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Stjarnan win50%2.001.8050%0.0 pp
Gelijkspel22%4.554.1021.9%+0.1 pp
Keflavik win28%3.573.2028.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Stjarnan1.99

Thuis share of expected goals 56.7%

Total expected goals3.51Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 68% · Onder 32%

Keflavik1.52

Uit share of expected goals 43.3%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 68% · Nee 32%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Stjarnan

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Keflavik

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
28%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.99
Expected goals
1.52
StjarnanKeflavik
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Stjarnan signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Keflavik signalThuis failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Stjarnan vs Keflavik FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–2 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Stjarnan gewonnen 50%,Gelijkspel 22%,Keflavik gewonnen 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.51 · Boven 2.5 68% · Current selection Boven