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ISL Islanda - Premier League · Meci ·

Stjarnan vs Keflavik

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–23.51 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde50%
Egal22%
Victorie oaspeți28%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde50% selection probability
Projected score2–2StjarnanKeflavik
Expected goals3.51Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste68% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa68% for the selected side
Expected corners12.1Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
50% / 22% / 28%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22%)Șansă dublă1278%1.28
Peste 68% · Sub 32%Goals 2.5Peste68%1.47
Da 68% · Nu 32%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa68%1.47
3.51 total expected goalsScor corect2–2
12.1 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Stjarnan win50%2.001.8050%0.0 pp
Egal22%4.554.1021.9%+0.1 pp
Keflavik win28%3.573.2028.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Stjarnan1.99

Gazde share of expected goals 56.7%

Total expected goals3.51Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 68% · Sub 32%

Keflavik1.52

Oaspeți share of expected goals 43.3%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitDa 68% · Nu 32%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Stjarnan

1.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puncte6

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Keflavik

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puncte7

SignalGazde failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Câștig probability excluding draw
28%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.99
Expected goals
1.52
StjarnanKeflavik
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Stjarnan signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Keflavik signalGazde failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Stjarnan vs Keflavik FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–2 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Stjarnan câștig 50%,Egal 22%,Keflavik câștig 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.51 · Peste 2.5 68% · Current selection Peste