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ISL Islandia - Premier League · Partido ·

Stjarnan vs Keflavik

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–23.51 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local49%
Empate22%
Victoria visitante29%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local49% selection probability
Projected score2–2StjarnanKeflavik
Expected goals3.51Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de68% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan68% for the selected side
Expected corners12.1Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
49% / 22% / 29%Resultado del partidoVictoria local49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.1%)Doble Oportunidad1277.9%1.28
Más de 68% · Menos de 32%Goals 2.5Más de68%1.47
Sí 68% · No 32%Ambos equipos marcan68%1.47
3.51 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–2
12.1 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.7%Largest probability gapStjarnan winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Stjarnan win49%2.041.8548.8%+0.2 pp
Empate22%4.554.1022%0.0 pp
Keflavik win29%3.453.1029.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Stjarnan1.99

Local share of expected goals 56.7%

Total expected goals3.51Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 68% · Menos de 32%

Keflavik1.52

Visitante share of expected goals 43.3%

Projected score2–2BTTS split 68% · No 32%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Stjarnan

1.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puntos6

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Keflavik

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Ganado probability excluding draw
29%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.99
Expected goals
1.52
StjarnanKeflavik
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Stjarnan signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Keflavik signalLocal failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Stjarnan vs Keflavik FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–2 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Stjarnan ganada 49%,Empate 22%,Keflavik ganada 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.51 · Más de 2.5 68% · Current selection Más de