Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
50% / 22% / 28%Match resultHome win50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22%)Double chance1278%1.28
Over 68% · Under 32%Goals 2.5Over68%1.47
Yes 68% · No 32%Both teams scoreYes68%1.47
3.51 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2——
12.1 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Stjarnan win50%2.001.8050%0.0 pp
Draw22%4.554.1021.9%+0.1 pp
Keflavik win28%3.573.2028.1%-0.1 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 56.7%
Total expected goals3.51Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 68% · Under 32%
Away share of expected goals 43.3%
Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 68% · No 32%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchStjarnan
WLLWL
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchKeflavik
WLLDW
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome failed to score: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
50%
Win probability excluding draw
28%6
Points from supplied form
71.99
Expected goals
1.52StjarnanKeflavik
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 22%.
Match questions
Stjarnan vs Keflavik FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–2 · 50% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Stjarnan win 50%，Draw 22%，Keflavik win 28%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.51 · Over 2.5 68% · Current selection Over。