Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
56% / 25% / 19%Match resultHome win56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Thor Akureyri win (19.5%)Double chance1X80.5%1.24
Over 60% · Under 40%Goals 2.5Over60%1.67
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
3.09 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
12.1 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
IA Akranes win56%1.79
Draw25%4.00
Thor Akureyri win19%5.26
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 70.6%
Total expected goals3.09Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 60% · Under 40%
Away share of expected goals 29.4%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchIA Akranes
DWLLL
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchThor Akureyri
WDWLD
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8
SignalAway unbeaten 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
56%
Win probability excluding draw
19%4
Points from supplied form
82.18
Expected goals
0.91IA AkranesThor Akureyri
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.
Match questions
IA Akranes vs Thor Akureyri FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
IA Akranes win 56%，Draw 25%，Thor Akureyri win 19%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.09 · Over 2.5 60% · Current selection Over。