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ISL Islande - Premier League · Match ·

IA Akranes vs Thor Akureyri

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–13.09 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile56%
Nul25%
Victoire à l’extérieur19%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile56% selection probability
Projected score2–1IA AkranesThor Akureyri
Expected goals3.09Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de60% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui53% for the selected side
Expected corners12.1Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
56% / 25% / 19%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Thor Akureyri win (19.5%)Double chance1X80.5%1.24
Plus de 60% · Moins de 40%Goals 2.5Plus de60%1.67
Oui 53% · Non 47%Les deux équipes marquentOui53%1.89
3.09 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
12.1 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
IA Akranes win56%1.79
Nul25%4.00
Thor Akureyri win19%5.26

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

IA Akranes2.18

Domicile share of expected goals 70.6%

Total expected goals3.09Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 60% · Moins de 40%

Thor Akureyri0.91

Extérieur share of expected goals 29.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 53% · Non 47%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

IA Akranes

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Thor Akureyri

1.60pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalExtérieur unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Gagné probability excluding draw
19%
4
Points from supplied form
8
2.18
Expected goals
0.91
IA AkranesThor Akureyri
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01IA Akranes signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Thor Akureyri signalExtérieur unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

IA Akranes vs Thor Akureyri FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

IA Akranes victoire 56%,Nul 25%,Thor Akureyri victoire 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.09 · Plus de 2.5 60% · Current selection Plus de