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ISL Islande - Premier League · Match ·

Breidablik vs Valur Reykjavik

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score3–13.83 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile59%
Nul21%
Victoire à l’extérieur21%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile59% selection probability
Projected score3–1BreidablikValur Reykjavik
Expected goals3.83Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de74% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui68% for the selected side
Expected corners12.4Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
59% / 21% / 21%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Valur Reykjavik win (20.5%)Double chance1X79.5%1.26
Plus de 74% · Moins de 26%Goals 2.5Plus de74%1.35
Oui 68% · Non 32%Les deux équipes marquentOui68%1.47
3.83 total expected goalsScore exact3–1
12.4 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapBreidablik winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Breidablik win59%1.691.5358.6%+0.4 pp
Nul21%4.764.3320.7%+0.3 pp
Valur Reykjavik win21%4.764.3320.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Breidablik2.51

Domicile share of expected goals 65.5%

Total expected goals3.83Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 74% · Moins de 26%

Valur Reykjavik1.32

Extérieur share of expected goals 34.5%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitOui 68% · Non 32%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Breidablik

2.00pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Valur Reykjavik

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Gagné probability excluding draw
21%
10
Points from supplied form
4
2.51
Expected goals
1.32
BreidablikValur Reykjavik
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Breidablik signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Valur Reykjavik signalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Breidablik vs Valur Reykjavik FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 3–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Breidablik victoire 59%,Nul 21%,Valur Reykjavik victoire 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.83 · Plus de 2.5 74% · Current selection Plus de