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ISL Islândia - Premier League · Partida ·

Breidablik vs Valur Reykjavik

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score3–13.83 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa59%
Empate21%
Vitória visitante21%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa59% selection probability
Projected score3–1BreidablikValur Reykjavik
Expected goals3.83Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima74% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim68% for the selected side
Expected corners12.4Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
59% / 21% / 21%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Valur Reykjavik win (20.5%)Dupla Chance1X79.5%1.26
Acima 74% · Abaixo 26%Goals 2.5Acima74%1.35
Sim 68% · Não 32%Ambas as equipes marcamSim68%1.47
3.83 total expected goalsPlacar exato3–1
12.4 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapBreidablik winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Breidablik win59%1.691.5358.6%+0.4 pp
Empate21%4.764.3320.7%+0.3 pp
Valur Reykjavik win21%4.764.3320.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Breidablik2.51

Mandante share of expected goals 65.5%

Total expected goals3.83Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 74% · Abaixo 26%

Valur Reykjavik1.32

Visitante share of expected goals 34.5%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitSim 68% · Não 32%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Breidablik

2.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontos10

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Valur Reykjavik

0.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Pontos4

SignalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
21%
10
Points from supplied form
4
2.51
Expected goals
1.32
BreidablikValur Reykjavik
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Breidablik signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Valur Reykjavik signalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Breidablik vs Valur Reykjavik FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 3–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Breidablik ganhou 59%,Empate 21%,Valur Reykjavik ganhou 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.83 · Acima 2.5 74% · Current selection Acima