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ISL Island - Úrvalsdeild · Kamp ·

Breidablik vs Valur Reykjavik

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score3–13.83 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr59%
Uafgjort21%
Udesejr21%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr59% selection probability
Projected score3–1BreidablikValur Reykjavik
Expected goals3.83Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over74% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa68% for the selected side
Expected corners12.4Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
59% / 21% / 21%KampresultatHjemmesejr59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Valur Reykjavik win (20.5%)Dobbeltchance1X79.5%1.26
Over 74% · Under 26%Goals 2.5Over74%1.35
Ja 68% · Nej 32%Begge hold scorerJa68%1.47
3.83 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat3–1
12.4 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapBreidablik winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Breidablik win59%1.691.5358.6%+0.4 pp
Uafgjort21%4.764.3320.7%+0.3 pp
Valur Reykjavik win21%4.764.3320.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Breidablik2.51

Hjemme share of expected goals 65.5%

Total expected goals3.83Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 74% · Under 26%

Valur Reykjavik1.32

Ude share of expected goals 34.5%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 68% · Nej 32%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Breidablik

2.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Point10

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Valur Reykjavik

0.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Point4

SignalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Vundet probability excluding draw
21%
10
Points from supplied form
4
2.51
Expected goals
1.32
BreidablikValur Reykjavik
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Breidablik signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Valur Reykjavik signalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Breidablik vs Valur Reykjavik FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 3–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Breidablik vundet 59%,Uafgjort 21%,Valur Reykjavik vundet 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.83 · Over 2.5 74% · Current selection Over