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ISL Island - Úrvalsdeild · Kamp ·

KA Akureyri vs FH Hafnarfjördur

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–13.32 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr43%
Uafgjort26%
Udesejr31%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr43% selection probability
Projected score2–1KA AkureyriFH Hafnarfjördur
Expected goals3.32Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over64% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa65% for the selected side
Expected corners12.2Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
43% / 26% / 31%KampresultatHjemmesejr43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.3%)Dobbeltchance1273.7%1.36
Over 64% · Under 36%Goals 2.5Over64%1.56
Ja 65% · Nej 35%Begge hold scorerJa65%1.54
3.32 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
12.2 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
KA Akureyri win43%2.33
Uafgjort26%3.85
FH Hafnarfjördur win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

KA Akureyri1.89

Hjemme share of expected goals 56.9%

Total expected goals3.32Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 64% · Under 36%

FH Hafnarfjördur1.43

Ude share of expected goals 43.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 65% · Nej 35%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

KA Akureyri

1.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Point5

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

FH Hafnarfjördur

1.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Point7

SignalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Vundet probability excluding draw
31%
5
Points from supplied form
7
1.89
Expected goals
1.43
KA AkureyriFH Hafnarfjördur
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01KA Akureyri signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FH Hafnarfjördur signalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

KA Akureyri vs FH Hafnarfjördur FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

KA Akureyri vundet 43%,Uafgjort 26%,FH Hafnarfjördur vundet 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.32 · Over 2.5 64% · Current selection Over