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ISL アイスランド プレミアリーグ · 試合 ·

KAアークレイリ vs FHハフナルフィヨルズゥル

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–13.32 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利43%
引き分け26%
アウェイ勝利31%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利43% selection probability
Projected score2–1KAアークレイリFHハフナルフィヨルズゥル
Expected goals3.32始値 match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー64% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい65% for the selected side
Expected corners12.2オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
43% / 26% / 31%試合結果ホーム勝利43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.3%)ダブルチャンス1273.7%1.36
オーバー 64% · アンダー 36%Goals 2.5オーバー64%1.56
はい 65% · いいえ 35%両チーム得点はい65%1.54
3.32 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
12.2 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
KAアークレイリ win43%2.33
引き分け26%3.85
FHハフナルフィヨルズゥル win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

KAアークレイリ1.89

ホーム share of expected goals 56.9%

Total expected goals3.32始値

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 64% · アンダー 36%

FHハフナルフィヨルズゥル1.43

アウェイ share of expected goals 43.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 65% · いいえ 35%Match profile始値
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

KAアークレイリ

1.00pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn2Losses2ポイント5

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

FHハフナルフィヨルズゥル

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn4Losses0ポイント7

Signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
勝ち probability excluding draw
31%
5
Points from supplied form
7
1.89
Expected goals
1.43
KAアークレイリFHハフナルフィヨルズゥル
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01KAアークレイリ signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FHハフナルフィヨルズゥル signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

KAアークレイリ vs FHハフナルフィヨルズゥル FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

KAアークレイリ 勝ち 43%,引き分け 26%,FHハフナルフィヨルズゥル 勝ち 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.32 · オーバー 2.5 64% · Current selection オーバー