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ISL Ισλανδία - Πρέμιερ Λιγκ · Αγώνας ·

ΚΑ Ακουρέιρι vs Χαφνιάρφιορντουρ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–13.32 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου43%
Ισοπαλία26%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου31%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου43% selection probability
Projected score2–1ΚΑ ΑκουρέιριΧαφνιάρφιορντουρ
Expected goals3.32Άνοιγμα match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω64% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι65% for the selected side
Expected corners12.2Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
43% / 26% / 31%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.3%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1273.7%1.36
Άνω 64% · Κάτω 36%Goals 2.5Άνω64%1.56
Ναι 65% · Όχι 35%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι65%1.54
3.32 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
12.2 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
ΚΑ Ακουρέιρι win43%2.33
Ισοπαλία26%3.85
Χαφνιάρφιορντουρ win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ΚΑ Ακουρέιρι1.89

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 56.9%

Total expected goals3.32Άνοιγμα

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 64% · Κάτω 36%

Χαφνιάρφιορντουρ1.43

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 43.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 65% · Όχι 35%Match profileΆνοιγμα
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

ΚΑ Ακουρέιρι

1.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Πόντοι5

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Χαφνιάρφιορντουρ

1.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Πόντοι7

SignalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
31%
5
Points from supplied form
7
1.89
Expected goals
1.43
ΚΑ ΑκουρέιριΧαφνιάρφιορντουρ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ΚΑ Ακουρέιρι signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Χαφνιάρφιορντουρ signalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

ΚΑ Ακουρέιρι vs Χαφνιάρφιορντουρ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ΚΑ Ακουρέιρι νίκη 43%,Ισοπαλία 26%,Χαφνιάρφιορντουρ νίκη 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.32 · Άνω 2.5 64% · Current selection Άνω