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ISL Islândia - Premier League · Partida ·

KA Akureyri vs FH Hafnarfjordur

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score2–13.32 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa43%
Empate26%
Vitória visitante31%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa43% selection probability
Projected score2–1KA AkureyriFH Hafnarfjordur
Expected goals3.32Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima64% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim65% for the selected side
Expected corners12.2Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
43% / 26% / 31%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.2%)Dupla Chance1273.8%1.36
Acima 64% · Abaixo 36%Goals 2.5Acima64%1.56
Sim 65% · Não 35%Ambas as equipes marcamSim65%1.54
3.32 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1
12.2 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Não snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityOdds justas
KA Akureyri win43%2.33
Empate26%3.85
FH Hafnarfjordur win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

KA Akureyri1.89

Mandante share of expected goals 56.9%

Total expected goals3.32Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 64% · Abaixo 36%

FH Hafnarfjordur1.43

Visitante share of expected goals 43.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 65% · Não 35%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

KA Akureyri

1.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Pontos5

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

FH Hafnarfjordur

1.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Pontos7

SignalMandante failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
31%
5
Points from supplied form
7
1.89
Expected goals
1.43
KA AkureyriFH Hafnarfjordur
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01KA Akureyri signalMandante matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FH Hafnarfjordur signalMandante failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

KA Akureyri vs FH Hafnarfjordur FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

KA Akureyri ganhou 43%,Empate 26%,FH Hafnarfjordur ganhou 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.32 · Acima 2.5 64% · Current selection Acima