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ISL アイスランド プレミアリーグ · 試合 ·

IAアクラネース vs トールアークレイリ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–13.09 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利56%
引き分け25%
アウェイ勝利19%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利56% selection probability
Projected score2–1IAアクラネーストールアークレイリ
Expected goals3.09始値 match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー60% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい53% for the selected side
Expected corners12.1オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
56% / 25% / 19%試合結果ホーム勝利56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes トールアークレイリ win (19.5%)ダブルチャンス1X80.5%1.24
オーバー 60% · アンダー 40%Goals 2.5オーバー60%1.67
はい 53% · いいえ 47%両チーム得点はい53%1.89
3.09 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
12.1 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
IAアクラネース win56%1.79
引き分け25%4.00
トールアークレイリ win19%5.26

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

IAアクラネース2.18

ホーム share of expected goals 70.6%

Total expected goals3.09始値

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 60% · アンダー 40%

トールアークレイリ0.91

アウェイ share of expected goals 29.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 53% · いいえ 47%Match profile始値
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

IAアクラネース

0.80pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn1Losses3ポイント4

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

トールアークレイリ

1.60pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn2Losses1ポイント8

Signalアウェイ unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
勝ち probability excluding draw
19%
4
Points from supplied form
8
2.18
Expected goals
0.91
IAアクラネーストールアークレイリ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01IAアクラネース signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02トールアークレイリ signalアウェイ unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

IAアクラネース vs トールアークレイリ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

IAアクラネース 勝ち 56%,引き分け 25%,トールアークレイリ 勝ち 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.09 · オーバー 2.5 60% · Current selection オーバー