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ISL 冰島超級聯賽 · 比賽 ·

阿簡尼斯 vs 托爾 阿克雷裏

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score2–13.09 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝56%
25%
客勝19%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝56% selection probability
Projected score2–1阿簡尼斯托爾 阿克雷裏
Expected goals3.09初盤 match profile
Goals 2.560% for the selected side
雙方進球53% for the selected side
Expected corners12.1大 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
56% / 25% / 19%比賽結果主勝56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 托爾 阿克雷裏 win (19.5%)雙重機會1X80.5%1.24
大 60% · 小 40%Goals 2.560%1.67
是 53% · 否 47%雙方進球53%1.89
3.09 total expected goals正確比分2–1
12.1 expected match corners角球大 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
阿簡尼斯 win56%1.79
25%4.00
托爾 阿克雷裏 win19%5.26

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

阿簡尼斯2.18

主隊 share of expected goals 70.6%

Total expected goals3.09初盤

Dedicated goals model: 60% · 40%

托爾 阿克雷裏0.91

客隊 share of expected goals 29.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 53% · 47%Match profile初盤
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

阿簡尼斯

0.80pts / match
5Wins1Drawn1Losses3積分4

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

托爾 阿克雷裏

1.60pts / match
5Wins2Drawn2Losses1積分8

Signal客隊 unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
贏 probability excluding draw
19%
4
Points from supplied form
8
2.18
Expected goals
0.91
阿簡尼斯托爾 阿克雷裏
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01阿簡尼斯 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02托爾 阿克雷裏 signal客隊 unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

阿簡尼斯 vs 托爾 阿克雷裏 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

阿簡尼斯 56%, 25%,托爾 阿克雷裏 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.09 · 大2.5 60% · Current selection