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ISL Islanda - Premier League · Partita ·

IA Akranes vs Thor Akureyri

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–13.09 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa56%
Pareggio25%
Vittoria ospite19%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa56% selection probability
Projected score2–1IA AkranesThor Akureyri
Expected goals3.09Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra60% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano53% for the selected side
Expected corners12.1Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
56% / 25% / 19%Esito partitaVittoria casa56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Thor Akureyri win (19.5%)Doppia Chance1X80.5%1.24
Sopra 60% · Sotto 40%Goals 2.5Sopra60%1.67
Sì 53% · No 47%Entrambe le squadre segnano53%1.89
3.09 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
12.1 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
IA Akranes win56%1.79
Pareggio25%4.00
Thor Akureyri win19%5.26

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

IA Akranes2.18

Casa share of expected goals 70.6%

Total expected goals3.09Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 60% · Sotto 40%

Thor Akureyri0.91

Trasferta share of expected goals 29.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 53% · No 47%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

IA Akranes

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Thor Akureyri

1.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punti8

SignalTrasferta unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Vinta probability excluding draw
19%
4
Points from supplied form
8
2.18
Expected goals
0.91
IA AkranesThor Akureyri
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01IA Akranes signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Thor Akureyri signalTrasferta unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

IA Akranes vs Thor Akureyri FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

IA Akranes vinta 56%,Pareggio 25%,Thor Akureyri vinta 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.09 · Sopra 2.5 60% · Current selection Sopra