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ISL Islanda - Premier League · Partita ·

Vikingur Reykjavik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score3–14.04 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa73%
Pareggio17%
Vittoria ospite10%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 73% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa73% selection probability
Projected score3–1Vikingur ReykjavikIBV Vestmannaeyjar
Expected goals4.04Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra77% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano50% for the selected side
Expected corners11.2Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
73% / 17% / 10%Esito partitaVittoria casa73%1.37
Derived from 1X2 · excludes IBV Vestmannaeyjar win (10.2%)Doppia Chance1X89.8%1.11
Sopra 77% · Sotto 23%Goals 2.5Sopra77%1.30
Sì 50% · No 50%Entrambe le squadre segnano50%2.00
4.04 total expected goalsRisultato esatto3–1
11.2 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Vikingur Reykjavik win73%1.37
Pareggio17%5.88
IBV Vestmannaeyjar win10%10.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Vikingur Reykjavik3.30

Casa share of expected goals 81.7%

Total expected goals4.04Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 77% · Sotto 23%

IBV Vestmannaeyjar0.74

Trasferta share of expected goals 18.3%

Projected score3–1BTTS split 50% · No 50%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Vikingur Reykjavik

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalCasa failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
73%
Vinta probability excluding draw
10%
7
Points from supplied form
4
3.30
Expected goals
0.74
Vikingur ReykjavikIBV Vestmannaeyjar
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Vikingur Reykjavik signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02IBV Vestmannaeyjar signalCasa failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk27% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

Vikingur Reykjavik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 3–1 · 73% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Vikingur Reykjavik vinta 73%,Pareggio 17%,IBV Vestmannaeyjar vinta 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.04 · Sopra 2.5 77% · Current selection Sopra