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ISL Island - 1. Liga · Spiel ·

Vikingur Reykjavik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score3–14.04 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg73%
Unentschieden17%
Auswärtssieg10%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 73% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg73% selection probability
Projected score3–1Vikingur ReykjavikIBV Vestmannaeyjar
Expected goals4.04Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über77% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa50% for the selected side
Expected corners11.2Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
73% / 17% / 10%SpielergebnisHeimsieg73%1.37
Derived from 1X2 · excludes IBV Vestmannaeyjar win (10.2%)Doppelte Chance1X89.8%1.11
Über 77% · Unter 23%Goals 2.5Über77%1.30
Ja 50% · Nein 50%Beide Teams treffenJa50%2.00
4.04 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis3–1
11.2 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Vikingur Reykjavik win73%1.37
Unentschieden17%5.88
IBV Vestmannaeyjar win10%10.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Vikingur Reykjavik3.30

Heim share of expected goals 81.7%

Total expected goals4.04Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 77% · Unter 23%

IBV Vestmannaeyjar0.74

Auswärts share of expected goals 18.3%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 50% · Nein 50%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Vikingur Reykjavik

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalHeim failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
73%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
10%
7
Points from supplied form
4
3.30
Expected goals
0.74
Vikingur ReykjavikIBV Vestmannaeyjar
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Vikingur Reykjavik signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02IBV Vestmannaeyjar signalHeim failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk27% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

Vikingur Reykjavik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 3–1 · 73% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Vikingur Reykjavik Gewinn 73%,Unentschieden 17%,IBV Vestmannaeyjar Gewinn 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.04 · Über 2.5 77% · Current selection Über