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ISL IJsland - Úrvalsdeild karla · Wedstrijd ·

Vikingur Reykjavik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score3–14.04 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst73%
Gelijkspel17%
Uitwinst10%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 73% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst73% selection probability
Projected score3–1Vikingur ReykjavikIBV Vestmannaeyjar
Expected goals4.04Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven77% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa50% for the selected side
Expected corners11.2Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
73% / 17% / 10%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst73%1.37
Derived from 1X2 · excludes IBV Vestmannaeyjar win (10.3%)Dubbele Kans1X89.7%1.11
Boven 77% · Onder 23%Goals 2.5Boven77%1.30
Ja 50% · Nee 50%Beide teams scorenJa50%2.00
4.04 total expected goalsExacte score3–1
11.2 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Vikingur Reykjavik win73%1.37
Gelijkspel17%5.88
IBV Vestmannaeyjar win10%10.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Vikingur Reykjavik3.30

Thuis share of expected goals 81.7%

Total expected goals4.04Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 77% · Onder 23%

IBV Vestmannaeyjar0.74

Uit share of expected goals 18.3%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 50% · Nee 50%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Vikingur Reykjavik

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
73%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
10%
7
Points from supplied form
4
3.30
Expected goals
0.74
Vikingur ReykjavikIBV Vestmannaeyjar
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Vikingur Reykjavik signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02IBV Vestmannaeyjar signalThuis failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk27% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

Vikingur Reykjavik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 3–1 · 73% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Vikingur Reykjavik gewonnen 73%,Gelijkspel 17%,IBV Vestmannaeyjar gewonnen 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.04 · Boven 2.5 77% · Current selection Boven