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ISL Iceland Premier League · Kamp ·

Vikingur Reykjavik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score3–14.04 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier73%
Uavgjort17%
Borteseier10%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 73% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier73% selection probability
Projected score3–1Vikingur ReykjavikIBV Vestmannaeyjar
Expected goals4.04Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over77% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa50% for the selected side
Expected corners11.2Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
73% / 17% / 10%KampresultatHjemmeseier73%1.37
Derived from 1X2 · excludes IBV Vestmannaeyjar win (10.2%)Dobbel sjanse1X89.8%1.11
Over 77% · Under 23%Goals 2.5Over77%1.30
Ja 50% · Nei 50%Begge lag scorerJa50%2.00
4.04 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat3–1
11.2 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRettferdig odds
Vikingur Reykjavik win73%1.37
Uavgjort17%5.88
IBV Vestmannaeyjar win10%10.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Vikingur Reykjavik3.30

Hjemme share of expected goals 81.7%

Total expected goals4.04Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 77% · Under 23%

IBV Vestmannaeyjar0.74

Borte share of expected goals 18.3%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 50% · Nei 50%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Vikingur Reykjavik

1.40pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poeng7

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

0.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poeng4

SignalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
73%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
10%
7
Points from supplied form
4
3.30
Expected goals
0.74
Vikingur ReykjavikIBV Vestmannaeyjar
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Vikingur Reykjavik signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02IBV Vestmannaeyjar signalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk27% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

Vikingur Reykjavik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 3–1 · 73% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Vikingur Reykjavik vunnet 73%,Uavgjort 17%,IBV Vestmannaeyjar vunnet 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.04 · Over 2.5 77% · Current selection Over