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ISL Islandi kõrgliiga · Mäng ·

IA Akranes vs Akureyri Þór

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score2–13.09 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit56%
Viik25%
Võõrsilvõit19%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit56% selection probability
Projected score2–1IA AkranesAkureyri Þór
Expected goals3.09Avamine match profile
Goals 2.5Üle60% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah53% for the selected side
Expected corners12.1Üle 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
56% / 25% / 19%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Akureyri Þór win (19.5%)Topeltvõimalus1X80.5%1.24
Üle 60% · Alla 40%Goals 2.5Üle60%1.67
Jah 53% · Ei 47%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah53%1.89
3.09 total expected goalsTäpne skoor2–1
12.1 expected match cornersNurgalöögidÜle 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Ei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityÕiglane koefitsient
IA Akranes win56%1.79
Viik25%4.00
Akureyri Þór win19%5.26

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

IA Akranes2.18

Kodu share of expected goals 70.6%

Total expected goals3.09Avamine

Dedicated goals model: Üle 60% · Alla 40%

Akureyri Þór0.91

Võõras share of expected goals 29.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJah 53% · Ei 47%Match profileAvamine
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

IA Akranes

0.80pts / match
Mängitud5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punktid4

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 4/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Akureyri Þór

1.60pts / match
Mängitud5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punktid8

SignalVõõras unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Võit probability excluding draw
19%
4
Points from supplied form
8
2.18
Expected goals
0.91
IA AkranesAkureyri Þór
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01IA Akranes signalKodu matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Akureyri Þór signalVõõras unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

IA Akranes vs Akureyri Þór FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

IA Akranes võit 56%,Viik 25%,Akureyri Þór võit 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.09 · Üle 2.5 60% · Current selection Üle