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ISL Islandia - Premier League · Mecz ·

Fram Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score3–24.59 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy60%
Remis20%
Wygrana gości20%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy60% selection probability
Projected score3–2Fram ReykjavikKA Akureyri
Expected goals4.59Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej84% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak77% for the selected side
Expected corners12.3Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
60% / 20% / 20%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes KA Akureyri win (19.9%)Podwójna szansa1X80.1%1.25
Powyżej 84% · Poniżej 16%Goals 2.5Powyżej84%1.19
Tak 77% · Nie 23%Obie drużyny strzeląTak77%1.30
4.59 total expected goalsDokładny wynik3–2
12.3 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Fram Reykjavik win60%1.671.5059.5%+0.5 pp
Remis20%5.004.3320.6%-0.6 pp
KA Akureyri win20%5.004.5019.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Fram Reykjavik2.88

Gospodarze share of expected goals 62.7%

Total expected goals4.59Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 84% · Poniżej 16%

KA Akureyri1.71

Goście share of expected goals 37.3%

Projected score3–2BTTS splitTak 77% · Nie 23%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Fram Reykjavik

2.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkty10

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

KA Akureyri

0.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punkty2

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
20%
10
Points from supplied form
2
2.88
Expected goals
1.71
Fram ReykjavikKA Akureyri
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Fram Reykjavik signalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KA Akureyri signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Fram Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 3–2 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Fram Reykjavik wygrana 60%,Remis 20%,KA Akureyri wygrana 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.59 · Powyżej 2.5 84% · Current selection Powyżej