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ISL Island - Premier League · Zápas ·

Fram Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score3–24.59 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich60%
Remíza20%
Výhra hostí20%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich60% selection probability
Projected score3–2Fram ReykjavikKA Akureyri
Expected goals4.59Otvoriť match profile
Goals 2.5Viac84% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno77% for the selected side
Expected corners12.3Viac 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
60% / 20% / 20%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes KA Akureyri win (19.9%)Dvojitá šanca1X80.1%1.25
Viac 84% · Menej 16%Goals 2.5Viac84%1.19
Áno 77% · Nie 23%Oba tímy skórujúÁno77%1.30
4.59 total expected goalsPresné skóre3–2
12.3 expected match cornersRohyViac 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Fram Reykjavik win60%1.671.5059.5%+0.5 pp
Remíza20%5.004.3320.6%-0.6 pp
KA Akureyri win20%5.004.5019.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Fram Reykjavik2.88

Domáci share of expected goals 62.7%

Total expected goals4.59Otvoriť

Dedicated goals model: Viac 84% · Menej 16%

KA Akureyri1.71

Hostia share of expected goals 37.3%

Projected score3–2BTTS splitÁno 77% · Nie 23%Match profileOtvoriť
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Fram Reykjavik

2.00pts / match
Odohrané5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Body10

SignalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

KA Akureyri

0.40pts / match
Odohrané5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Body2

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Výhra probability excluding draw
20%
10
Points from supplied form
2
2.88
Expected goals
1.71
Fram ReykjavikKA Akureyri
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Fram Reykjavik signalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KA Akureyri signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Fram Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 3–2 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Fram Reykjavik výhra 60%,Remíza 20%,KA Akureyri výhra 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.59 · Viac 2.5 84% · Current selection Viac