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ISL Iceland Premier League · Fixture ·

Fram Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score3–24.59 expected goals
Away form
Home win60%
Draw20%
Away win20%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win60% selection probability
Projected score3–2Fram ReykjavikKA Akureyri
Expected goals4.59Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over84% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes77% for the selected side
Expected corners12.3Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
60% / 20% / 20%Match resultHome win60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes KA Akureyri win (19.9%)Double chance1X80.1%1.25
Over 84% · Under 16%Goals 2.5Over84%1.19
Yes 77% · No 23%Both teams scoreYes77%1.30
4.59 total expected goalsCorrect score3–2
12.3 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Fram Reykjavik win60%1.671.5059.5%+0.5 pp
Draw20%5.004.3320.6%-0.6 pp
KA Akureyri win20%5.004.5019.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Fram Reykjavik2.88

Home share of expected goals 62.7%

Total expected goals4.59Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 84% · Under 16%

KA Akureyri1.71

Away share of expected goals 37.3%

Projected score3–2BTTS splitYes 77% · No 23%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Fram Reykjavik

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

KA Akureyri

0.40pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Win probability excluding draw
20%
10
Points from supplied form
2
2.88
Expected goals
1.71
Fram ReykjavikKA Akureyri
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Fram Reykjavik signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KA Akureyri signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Fram Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–2 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Fram Reykjavik win 60%,Draw 20%,KA Akureyri win 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.59 · Over 2.5 84% · Current selection Over