Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
42% / 24% / 34%Match resultHome win42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.7%)Double chance1276.3%1.31
Over 65% · Under 35%Goals 2.5Over65%1.54
Yes 66% · No 34%Both teams scoreYes66%1.52
3.34 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2——
12.5 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapValur Reykjavik winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Valur Reykjavik win42%2.382.1042.9%-0.9 pp
Draw24%4.173.8023.7%+0.3 pp
IA Akranes win34%2.942.7033.4%+0.6 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 49.1%
Total expected goals3.34Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 65% · Under 35%
Away share of expected goals 50.9%
Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 66% · No 34%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchValur Reykjavik
LDLWL
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
2.20pts / matchIA Akranes
DWWDW
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11
SignalHome failed to score: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
42%
Win probability excluding draw
34%4
Points from supplied form
111.64
Expected goals
1.70Valur ReykjavikIA Akranes
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.
Match questions
Valur Reykjavik vs IA Akranes FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–2 · 42% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Valur Reykjavik win 42%，Draw 24%，IA Akranes win 34%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.34 · Over 2.5 65% · Current selection Over。