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ISL Iceland Premier League · Kamp ·

Valur Reykjavik vs IA Akranes

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–23.34 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier42%
Uavgjort24%
Borteseier34%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier42% selection probability
Projected score2–2Valur ReykjavikIA Akranes
Expected goals3.34Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over65% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa66% for the selected side
Expected corners12.5Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
42% / 24% / 34%KampresultatHjemmeseier42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.7%)Dobbel sjanse1276.3%1.31
Over 65% · Under 35%Goals 2.5Over65%1.54
Ja 66% · Nei 34%Begge lag scorerJa66%1.52
3.34 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–2
12.5 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapValur Reykjavik winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Valur Reykjavik win42%2.382.1042.9%-0.9 pp
Uavgjort24%4.173.8023.7%+0.3 pp
IA Akranes win34%2.942.7033.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Valur Reykjavik1.64

Hjemme share of expected goals 49.1%

Total expected goals3.34Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 65% · Under 35%

IA Akranes1.70

Borte share of expected goals 50.9%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 66% · Nei 34%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Valur Reykjavik

0.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poeng4

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borte-context · form sequence

IA Akranes

2.20pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Poeng11

SignalHjemme failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
34%
4
Points from supplied form
11
1.64
Expected goals
1.70
Valur ReykjavikIA Akranes
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Valur Reykjavik signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02IA Akranes signalHjemme failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Valur Reykjavik vs IA Akranes FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–2 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Valur Reykjavik vunnet 42%,Uavgjort 24%,IA Akranes vunnet 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.34 · Over 2.5 65% · Current selection Over