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ISL IJsland - Úrvalsdeild karla · Wedstrijd ·

Valur Reykjavik vs IA Akranes

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–23.34 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst42%
Gelijkspel24%
Uitwinst34%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst42% selection probability
Projected score2–2Valur ReykjavikIA Akranes
Expected goals3.34Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven65% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa66% for the selected side
Expected corners12.5Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
42% / 24% / 34%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.7%)Dubbele Kans1276.3%1.31
Boven 65% · Onder 35%Goals 2.5Boven65%1.54
Ja 66% · Nee 34%Beide teams scorenJa66%1.52
3.34 total expected goalsExacte score2–2
12.5 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapValur Reykjavik winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Valur Reykjavik win42%2.382.1042.9%-0.9 pp
Gelijkspel24%4.173.8023.7%+0.3 pp
IA Akranes win34%2.942.7033.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Valur Reykjavik1.64

Thuis share of expected goals 49.1%

Total expected goals3.34Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 65% · Onder 35%

IA Akranes1.70

Uit share of expected goals 50.9%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 66% · Nee 34%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Valur Reykjavik

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

IA Akranes

2.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punten11

SignalThuis failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
34%
4
Points from supplied form
11
1.64
Expected goals
1.70
Valur ReykjavikIA Akranes
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Valur Reykjavik signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02IA Akranes signalThuis failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Valur Reykjavik vs IA Akranes FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–2 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Valur Reykjavik gewonnen 42%,Gelijkspel 24%,IA Akranes gewonnen 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.34 · Boven 2.5 65% · Current selection Boven