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ISL アイスランド プレミアリーグ · 試合 ·

フラム・レイキャビク vs KAアークレイリ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score3–24.59 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利60%
引き分け20%
アウェイ勝利20%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利60% selection probability
Projected score3–2フラム・レイキャビクKAアークレイリ
Expected goals4.59始値 match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー84% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい77% for the selected side
Expected corners12.3オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
60% / 20% / 20%試合結果ホーム勝利60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes KAアークレイリ win (19.9%)ダブルチャンス1X80.1%1.25
オーバー 84% · アンダー 16%Goals 2.5オーバー84%1.19
はい 77% · いいえ 23%両チーム得点はい77%1.30
4.59 total expected goals正確なスコア3–2
12.3 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.6 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
フラム・レイキャビク win60%1.671.5059.5%+0.5 pp
引き分け20%5.004.3320.6%-0.6 pp
KAアークレイリ win20%5.004.5019.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

フラム・レイキャビク2.88

ホーム share of expected goals 62.7%

Total expected goals4.59始値

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 84% · アンダー 16%

KAアークレイリ1.71

アウェイ share of expected goals 37.3%

Projected score3–2BTTS splitはい 77% · いいえ 23%Match profile始値
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

フラム・レイキャビク

2.00pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn1Losses1ポイント10

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

KAアークレイリ

0.40pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn2Losses3ポイント2

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
勝ち probability excluding draw
20%
10
Points from supplied form
2
2.88
Expected goals
1.71
フラム・レイキャビクKAアークレイリ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01フラム・レイキャビク signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KAアークレイリ signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

フラム・レイキャビク vs KAアークレイリ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 3–2 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

フラム・レイキャビク 勝ち 60%,引き分け 20%,KAアークレイリ 勝ち 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.59 · オーバー 2.5 84% · Current selection オーバー