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ISL Islandia - Premier League · Partido ·

Fram Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score3–24.59 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local60%
Empate20%
Victoria visitante20%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local60% selection probability
Projected score3–2Fram ReykjavikKA Akureyri
Expected goals4.59Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de84% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan77% for the selected side
Expected corners12.3Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
60% / 20% / 20%Resultado del partidoVictoria local60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes KA Akureyri win (19.9%)Doble Oportunidad1X80.1%1.25
Más de 84% · Menos de 16%Goals 2.5Más de84%1.19
Sí 77% · No 23%Ambos equipos marcan77%1.30
4.59 total expected goalsMarcador exacto3–2
12.3 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Fram Reykjavik win60%1.671.5059.5%+0.5 pp
Empate20%5.004.3320.6%-0.6 pp
KA Akureyri win20%5.004.5019.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Fram Reykjavik2.88

Local share of expected goals 62.7%

Total expected goals4.59Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 84% · Menos de 16%

KA Akureyri1.71

Visitante share of expected goals 37.3%

Projected score3–2BTTS split 77% · No 23%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Fram Reykjavik

2.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puntos10

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

KA Akureyri

0.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Puntos2

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Ganado probability excluding draw
20%
10
Points from supplied form
2
2.88
Expected goals
1.71
Fram ReykjavikKA Akureyri
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Fram Reykjavik signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KA Akureyri signalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Fram Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 3–2 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Fram Reykjavik ganada 60%,Empate 20%,KA Akureyri ganada 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.59 · Más de 2.5 84% · Current selection Más de