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ISL Islande - Premier League · Match ·

Fram Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score3–24.59 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile60%
Nul20%
Victoire à l’extérieur20%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile60% selection probability
Projected score3–2Fram ReykjavikKA Akureyri
Expected goals4.59Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de84% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui77% for the selected side
Expected corners12.3Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
60% / 20% / 20%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes KA Akureyri win (19.9%)Double chance1X80.1%1.25
Plus de 84% · Moins de 16%Goals 2.5Plus de84%1.19
Oui 77% · Non 23%Les deux équipes marquentOui77%1.30
4.59 total expected goalsScore exact3–2
12.3 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Fram Reykjavik win60%1.671.5059.5%+0.5 pp
Nul20%5.004.3320.6%-0.6 pp
KA Akureyri win20%5.004.5019.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Fram Reykjavik2.88

Domicile share of expected goals 62.7%

Total expected goals4.59Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 84% · Moins de 16%

KA Akureyri1.71

Extérieur share of expected goals 37.3%

Projected score3–2BTTS splitOui 77% · Non 23%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Fram Reykjavik

2.00pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

KA Akureyri

0.40pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Gagné probability excluding draw
20%
10
Points from supplied form
2
2.88
Expected goals
1.71
Fram ReykjavikKA Akureyri
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Fram Reykjavik signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KA Akureyri signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Fram Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 3–2 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Fram Reykjavik victoire 60%,Nul 20%,KA Akureyri victoire 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.59 · Plus de 2.5 84% · Current selection Plus de