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ISL Islandia - Premier League · Mecz ·

IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Thor Akureyri

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–12.99 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy54%
Remis23%
Wygrana gości23%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy54% selection probability
Projected score2–1IBV VestmannaeyjarThor Akureyri
Expected goals2.99Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej58% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak53% for the selected side
Expected corners11.4Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
54% / 23% / 23%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Thor Akureyri win (22.7%)Podwójna szansa1X77.3%1.29
Powyżej 58% · Poniżej 42%Goals 2.5Powyżej58%1.72
Tak 53% · Nie 47%Obie drużyny strzeląTak53%1.89
2.99 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
11.4 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.5%Largest probability gapIBV Vestmannaeyjar winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
IBV Vestmannaeyjar win54%1.851.6753.2%+0.8 pp
Remis23%4.353.8023.4%-0.4 pp
Thor Akureyri win23%4.353.8023.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

IBV Vestmannaeyjar2.06

Gospodarze share of expected goals 68.9%

Total expected goals2.99Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 58% · Poniżej 42%

Thor Akureyri0.93

Goście share of expected goals 31.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 53% · Nie 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

0.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punkty1

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Thor Akureyri

0.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkty4

SignalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
23%
1
Points from supplied form
4
2.06
Expected goals
0.93
IBV VestmannaeyjarThor Akureyri
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01IBV Vestmannaeyjar signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Thor Akureyri signalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Thor Akureyri FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

IBV Vestmannaeyjar wygrana 54%,Remis 23%,Thor Akureyri wygrana 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.99 · Powyżej 2.5 58% · Current selection Powyżej