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ISL Islândia - Premier League · Partida ·

IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Thor Akureyri

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score2–12.99 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa54%
Empate23%
Vitória visitante23%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa54% selection probability
Projected score2–1IBV VestmannaeyjarThor Akureyri
Expected goals2.99Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Acima58% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim53% for the selected side
Expected corners11.4Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
54% / 23% / 23%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Thor Akureyri win (22.7%)Dupla Chance1X77.3%1.29
Acima 58% · Abaixo 42%Goals 2.5Acima58%1.72
Sim 53% · Não 47%Ambas as equipes marcamSim53%1.89
2.99 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1
11.4 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.5%Largest probability gapIBV Vestmannaeyjar winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
IBV Vestmannaeyjar win54%1.851.6753.2%+0.8 pp
Empate23%4.353.8023.4%-0.4 pp
Thor Akureyri win23%4.353.8023.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

IBV Vestmannaeyjar2.06

Mandante share of expected goals 68.9%

Total expected goals2.99Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 58% · Abaixo 42%

Thor Akureyri0.93

Visitante share of expected goals 31.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 53% · Não 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

0.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Pontos1

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Thor Akureyri

0.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Pontos4

SignalMandante failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
23%
1
Points from supplied form
4
2.06
Expected goals
0.93
IBV VestmannaeyjarThor Akureyri
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01IBV Vestmannaeyjar signalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Thor Akureyri signalMandante failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Thor Akureyri FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

IBV Vestmannaeyjar ganhou 54%,Empate 23%,Thor Akureyri ganhou 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.99 · Acima 2.5 58% · Current selection Acima