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ENG Anglia - Southern Premier League - South · Mecz ·

Basingstoke vs Evesham United

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–23.62 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy35%
Remis26%
Wygrana gości40%
Full model forecastWygrana gościTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gości40% selection probability
Projected score2–2BasingstokeEvesham United
Expected goals3.62Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej70% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak70% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
35% / 26% / 40%Wynik meczuWygrana gości40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.6%)Podwójna szansa1274.4%1.34
Powyżej 70% · Poniżej 30%Goals 2.5Powyżej70%1.43
Tak 70% · Nie 30%Obie drużyny strzeląTak70%1.43
3.62 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–2
8.8 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
Basingstoke win35%2.86
Remis26%3.85
Evesham United win40%2.50

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Basingstoke1.72

Gospodarze share of expected goals 47.5%

Total expected goals3.62Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 70% · Poniżej 30%

Evesham United1.90

Goście share of expected goals 52.5%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitTak 70% · Nie 30%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Basingstoke

0.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punkty3

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Evesham United

1.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkty9

SignalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
40%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.72
Expected goals
1.90
BasingstokeEvesham United
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Basingstoke signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Evesham United signalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Basingstoke vs Evesham United FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gości · Projected score 2–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Basingstoke wygrana 35%,Remis 26%,Evesham United wygrana 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.62 · Powyżej 2.5 70% · Current selection Powyżej