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ENG England Southern Premier League South · Trận đấu ·

Basingstoke vs Evesham United

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score2–23.62 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng46%
Hòa26%
Đội khách thắng28%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng46% selection probability
Projected score2–2BasingstokeEvesham United
Expected goals3.62Mở match profile
Goals 2.5Tài70% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bàn70% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Xỉu 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
46% / 26% / 28%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.5%)Cơ hội kép1274.5%1.34
Tài 70% · Xỉu 30%Goals 2.5Tài70%1.43
Có 70% · Không 30%Cả hai đội ghi bàn70%1.43
3.62 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác2–2
8.8 expected match cornersPhạt gócXỉu 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapBasingstoke winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Basingstoke win46%2.171.9147.1%-1.1 pp
Hòa26%3.853.5025.7%+0.3 pp
Evesham United win28%3.573.3027.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Basingstoke1.72

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 47.5%

Total expected goals3.62Mở

Dedicated goals model: Tài 70% · Xỉu 30%

Evesham United1.90

Khách share of expected goals 52.5%

Projected score2–2BTTS split 70% · Không 30%Match profileMở
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Basingstoke

0.60pts / match
Số trận5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Điểm3

SignalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 4/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Evesham United

1.80pts / match
Số trận5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Điểm9

SignalChủ nhà failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Thắng probability excluding draw
28%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.72
Expected goals
1.90
BasingstokeEvesham United
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Basingstoke signalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Evesham United signalChủ nhà failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Basingstoke vs Evesham United FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 2–2 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Basingstoke thắng 46%,Hòa 26%,Evesham United thắng 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.62 · Tài 2.5 70% · Current selection Tài