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Μπάσινγκστόουκ vs Έβεσχαμ Γιουν.

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–23.62 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου46%
Ισοπαλία26%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου28%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου46% selection probability
Projected score2–2ΜπάσινγκστόουκΈβεσχαμ Γιουν.
Expected goals3.62Άνοιγμα match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω70% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι70% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
46% / 26% / 28%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.5%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1274.5%1.34
Άνω 70% · Κάτω 30%Goals 2.5Άνω70%1.43
Ναι 70% · Όχι 30%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι70%1.43
3.62 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–2
8.8 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapΜπάσινγκστόουκ winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Μπάσινγκστόουκ win46%2.171.9147.1%-1.1 pp
Ισοπαλία26%3.853.5025.7%+0.3 pp
Έβεσχαμ Γιουν. win28%3.573.3027.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Μπάσινγκστόουκ1.72

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 47.5%

Total expected goals3.62Άνοιγμα

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 70% · Κάτω 30%

Έβεσχαμ Γιουν.1.90

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 52.5%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitΝαι 70% · Όχι 30%Match profileΆνοιγμα
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Μπάσινγκστόουκ

0.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Πόντοι3

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Έβεσχαμ Γιουν.

1.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Πόντοι9

SignalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
28%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.72
Expected goals
1.90
ΜπάσινγκστόουκΈβεσχαμ Γιουν.
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Μπάσινγκστόουκ signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Έβεσχαμ Γιουν. signalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Μπάσινγκστόουκ vs Έβεσχαμ Γιουν. FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–2 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Μπάσινγκστόουκ νίκη 46%,Ισοπαλία 26%,Έβεσχαμ Γιουν. νίκη 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.62 · Άνω 2.5 70% · Current selection Άνω